Sassuolo vs Torino - Predictions & Odds

Sassuolo

Torino

Serie A·MD2

Sassuolo

Torino

Head-to-head

Sassuolo

lasts meetings

Torino

1Win

4Draws

5Wins

Our analysis

Torino are restarting their season with a strengthened Italian core under Abate's guidance, while Sassuolo are coming off a defeat and a squad still finding its feet. The recent history between the two sides leans quite clearly, though without a clear-cut winner emerging.

Both beaten last weekend, Sassuolo by Atalanta and Torino by Milan, the two clubs find themselves already in the second matchday with the same desire to finally kick-start their campaign.

Torino have made it a habit

The most telling stat comes from the head-to-heads: Torino have won 3 of their last 4 duels, including the most recent 2-1 in the spring, and even won away at Sassuolo last season. Against this particular opponent, the Maroons know what they're doing.

Sassuolo still searching for their rhythm

On the other side, the machinery is spluttering: 4 defeats in their last 6 matches and an attack struggling to get going. Their new signing Kieron Bowie remains on 0 goals this season after scoring 8 the previous one, and Domenico Berardi is in the same boat. This suggests it will take time for their patterns to gel.

A winner is hard to call

That said, the result is not a foregone conclusion. The model sees the draw as the most likely outcome, and Torino, impressive historically, remain fragile away from home with an attack that's still gone quiet (Simeone and Adams have barely scored, and Pietro Pellegri is absent). Rather than picking a clear winner, we cover the spread: Torino or the draw.

The matchup trends

The stats below highlight Torino's advantage in the head-to-heads and Sassuolo's sluggish start to the season.

Over 1.5 goals7 matches out of 10

Over 2.5 goals4 matches out of 10

Under 2.5 goals6 matches out of 10

Both teams to score7 matches out of 10

Clean sheetSassuolo1 match out of 10

Clean sheetTorino2 matches out of 10

Goal in the 1st half6 matches out of 10

Over 9.5 corners4 matches out of 10

Over 4.5 cards3 matches out of 10

Their last 10 meetings

The questions worth asking

Why not back a Torino win outright?

Because their attack is misfiring and they remain vulnerable on the road. The draw is actually the outcome the model ranks highest, so it's better to cover it than to bet on a clear win.

Sassuolo are at home, isn't that an advantage?

Somewhat, but they've just lost 4 of their last 6 matches and Torino already won away to them recently. The home advantage doesn't outweigh that momentum.

What if Sassuolo pull off a surprise?

That's the accepted risk of the bet; their new signing Bowie could break his duck at any moment. But the double chance only fails with a Sassuolo win, a draw is enough for it to land.

And the bet to remember

Torino dominate the historical record and face a Sassuolo side still finding its feet, but their lacklustre attack and away fragility call for caution. We are therefore backing Torino or the draw, with solid confidence in ruling out Sassuolo and more measured confidence in a Maroons victory. Avoid: going all-in on a Torino win alone, which is too uncertain given their away form.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.