Blackburn Rovers vs Queens Park Rangers - Championship

Blackburn Rovers
Queens Park Rangers
Championship·MD3
Blackburn Rovers
Queens Park Rangers

Blackburn Rovers

Queens Park Rangers

Head-to-head

Blackburn Rovers
0
lasts meetings
Queens Park Rangers
6Wins
0Draws
4Wins
Our analysis
At Ewood Park, everything points to Blackburn as the host to respect, but it was QPR who left here with the win last time. Between a Blackburn side doubting at home and ambitious Londoners, the wisest outcome is not a Rovers victory.

Blackburn doubtful at home

The Rovers are at home, but their home ground offers little reassurance: in their last hosting of QPR, Blackburn lost 0-1, and their defence is weakened by the absence of Hayden Carter and Scott Wharton. It's difficult to build a comfortable evening with a reshuffled backline against an opponent who already knows how to win here.

An ambitious but weakened QPR

Opposite them, QPR presents a new face and clear ambitions, but they are limping forward: Youssef Chermiti is sidelined for several months with an ACL rupture, and the Londoners are stuck in a barren run, with just one win in their last six matches. Enough to temper any thoughts of an easy away success.

A duel that refuses to be decided

Fundamentally, nothing really separates these two: their last six meetings are in perfect equilibrium, three wins apiece, and the model itself leans first towards a draw. In this fog, securing the side with little reason to lose becomes the most sensible option.

The matchup trends

The stats below detail the form, head-to-head history, and goal trends for this Blackburn vs QPR match.

0%
Over 1.5 goals6 matches out of 10
0%
Over 2.5 goals5 matches out of 10
0%
Under 2.5 goals5 matches out of 10
0%
Both teams to score4 matches out of 10
0%
Clean sheetBlackburn Rovers4 matches out of 10
0%
Clean sheetQueens Park Rangers2 matches out of 10
0%
Goal in the 1st half5 matches out of 10
0%
Over 9.5 corners6 matches out of 10
0%
Over 4.5 cards5 matches out of 9
Their last 10 meetings
The questions worth asking
Why not back a QPR win?

Because the Londoners remain shaky, with just one win in six matches, and are without Chermiti up front. Covering the draw is more prudent than betting on their victory alone.

Blackburn are at home, aren't they favourites?

They are at home, but they lost their last home game against QPR and are without two defenders. Their home advantage is less clear-cut than it appears.

What if Blackburn win anyway?

That's the accepted risk of the bet: the Rovers have their home crowd. But the model doesn't see them as favourites, and recent history leans towards the visitors.

And the bet to remember

A match too indecisive to call a winner: we cover with Queens Park Rangers or the draw. Good confidence that Blackburn won't win, more measured on the idea of a London success, given their run and Chermiti's absence. To avoid: betting on a clear QPR win, they are too fragile right now to demand it.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Adrien Costa

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.

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