Elversberg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Predictions & Odds

Elversberg

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bundesliga·MD1

Elversberg

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Head-to-head

Elversberg

lasts meetings

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1Win

0Draws

1Win

Our analysis

Elversberg hosts a top-flight team, but at their ground they haven't conceded a single goal while scoring at least three each time. The name Leverkusen carries weight, but the history of this match speaks of one thing above all: the nets are going to tremble.

Elversberg never leaves empty-handed

At home, the club is firing on all cylinders: their last three home games have ended 3-0, another 3-0, and 5-1, never scoring fewer than three goals. Even when they keep a clean sheet, they do it by scoring heavily, which pushes the total upwards. Elversberg comes in with momentum, boasting an attack that never sleeps at home.

Leverkusen doesn't lock down

Bayer 04 Leverkusen isn't coming to shut up shop: their last away fixture was settled at 4-0, in line with a team geared towards attack. Facing a promoted side that takes risks going forward, the tally rises quickly. It's hard to imagine both sides neutralizing each other for ninety minutes.

Two goal-scorers yet to find their voice

A note of caution, however: the two spearheads are struggling at the start of this campaign. Noel Futkeu, author of 19 goals last season for the Saarland side, hasn't opened his account this year, nor has Patrik Schick on the other side. Leverkusen also has to make do without Eliesse Ben Seghir, which tempers the idea of a guaranteed goal-fest.

The matchup trends

The stats below detail recent form, goalscorers, and past meetings to shed light on this goals bet.

Over 1.5 goals2 matches out of 2

Over 2.5 goals2 matches out of 2

Under 2.5 goals0 matches out of 2

Both teams to score1 match out of 2

Clean sheetElversberg0 matches out of 2

Clean sheetBayer 04 Leverkusen1 match out of 2

Goal in the 1st half2 matches out of 2

Over 9.5 corners2 matches out of 2

Over 4.5 cards0 matches out of 2

Their last 2 meetings

The questions worth asking

Why bet on goals rather than a winner?

In an opener, with the table still meaningless, picking a winner is a shot in the dark. The goal volume, however, is based on clear trends from both sides.

Elversberg's defence hasn't conceded at home, doesn't that block goals?

No, because their clean sheets at home have come with big wins like 3-0. Keeping a clean sheet doesn't stop them from scoring in quantity, so the total still surpasses the line.

What if the strikers stay quiet?

That's the real risk: Futkeu and Schick are still finding their rhythm and Leverkusen is moving forward without Ben Seghir. But both teams have proven they can score through various means, not just via their number nine.

And the bet to remember

The story of this match is two teams incapable of shutting down play to defend: Elversberg scores in every home game, Leverkusen travels with unbridled offensive intent. The bet leans towards over 2.5 goals, with high confidence that there will be goals, but more caution on the extent since the two main strikers haven't started their season yet. To avoid: betting on a clear winner at the start of the season, the result is far too open.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.