Lazio vs Genoa - Predictions & Odds

Lazio

Genoa

Serie A·MD2

Lazio

Genoa

Head-to-head

Lazio

lasts meetings

Genoa

8Wins

1Draw

1Win

Our analysis

The Sarri era is over: Lazio turns a new page with Gennaro Gattuso, in a chaotic transfer window that has stripped the squad of several key figures. A lot of uncertainty on the winner, but a near-certainty on the score: goals are likely to be in short supply.

A Lazio in full rebuild

Lazio starts the season without clear reference points. Gattuso inherits a reshaped group after Sarri's departure and must already cope without several players, from Patric to Marusic, including Pellegrini and Dele-Bashiru. Hard to gauge their true level, even with 3 wins from their last 6 matches.

A goal-shy Genoa

Opposite, Genoa is going through a worrying drought: just one goal scored in their last 6 outings, and no wins in that span. Their two main attacking threats announced, Elias Havel and Milutin Osmajic, haven't opened their account this season. The Ligurian attack is misfiring.

A duel that's always low-scoring

Recent history drives the point home: Genoa failed to score in 4 of their last 5 clashes against Lazio, and both teams have only scored in the same match once in those five. A scenario that fits a Genoa unable to find a way through and an opponent that, in this fixture, locks the door well.

The matchup trends

The stats below highlight Genoa's attacking breakdown and the one-sided recent history of this fixture.

Over 1.5 goals8 matches out of 10

Over 2.5 goals6 matches out of 10

Under 2.5 goals4 matches out of 10

Both teams to score5 matches out of 10

Clean sheetLazio4 matches out of 10

Clean sheetGenoa1 match out of 10

Goal in the 1st half8 matches out of 10

Over 9.5 corners5 matches out of 10

Over 4.5 cards5 matches out of 10

Their last 10 meetings

The questions worth asking

Why not bet on a Lazio win?

New Gattuso era, squad overhaul, several absentees: too much uncertainty on immediate performance. And the market itself hesitates to decide between a win and a draw.

What if Lazio wins big?

Absolutely possible, but the bet is not on the winner. As long as Genoa remains goalless, as in 4 of their last 5 duels, a 2-0 or 3-0 sees the bet through.

Could Genoa finally score?

The risk exists; one goal is enough to break the bet. But with one goal in six matches and forwards yet to score this season, it remains unlikely.

And the bet to remember

We therefore rely on the most stable fact of this fixture: both teams scoring, no. Confidence is high on Genoa's muteness, more measured on the rest, as a Lazio in full transition can show any face. To avoid: betting on a Lazio win, something neither the model nor the market really dares to call.

Confidence

The bet to remember

Both teams to score: No

Odds1.79

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* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.