RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bundesliga

RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bundesliga·MD1
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach

RB Leipzig

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Head-to-head

RB Leipzig
0
lasts meetings
Borussia Mönchengladbach
5Wins
2Draws
3Wins
Our analysis
Rocco Reitz moved from Borussia to Leipzig this summer for 20 million euros, and fate pits him against his former club on the opening day. Both arrive full of confidence after high-scoring cup games, but their head-to-head history tells a very different story, one of tight, locked-down affairs.

Reitz faces his past

RB Leipzig host Borussia Mönchengladbach with, at the heart of it all, a man who knows both dressing rooms inside out. Reitz signed for Leipzig this summer and faces the club that launched him straight away. Both teams also kicked off their season with commanding cup displays, a 6-0 and a 5-0 win, giving them plenty of morale to bring into this one.

Gladbach's defensive lock

Where Borussia impresses is in its defensive solidity: four matches without conceding in their last six outings, and only four goals conceded in total. In contrast, Leipzig have been much leakier, letting in 11 goals over the same period. A stark contrast that carries significant weight in an opening match where defensive organization counts double.

A duel that turns into a lock

The history is telling: in their last six encounters, both teams have never scored in the same match, averaging just 0.8 goals per game. Leipzig did win the last meeting 1-0 back in April, but always in tight, closed scenarios, if not a goalless draw. The absence of Christoph Baumgartner, one of the Reds' attacking threats, won't help to break this deadlock.

The matchup trends

The stats below highlight this traditionally tight duel and Borussia's defensive solidity.

0%
Over 1.5 goals5 matches out of 10
0%
Over 2.5 goals4 matches out of 10
0%
Under 2.5 goals6 matches out of 10
0%
Both teams to score2 matches out of 10
0%
Clean sheetRB Leipzig6 matches out of 10
0%
Clean sheetBorussia Mönchengladbach4 matches out of 10
0%
Goal in the 1st half4 matches out of 10
0%
Over 9.5 corners9 matches out of 10
0%
Over 4.5 cards4 matches out of 10
Their last 10 meetings
The questions worth asking
Why not back a Leipzig win?

Because the match is more open than it seems. Leipzig are at home and are favourites, but their defence has been leaky and Borussia rarely gives them an inch: five of their last six duels have been decided by a single goal, or less.

Can Gladbach really get a result here?

Their defensive solidity speaks for them, with four matches without conceding recently. And these head-to-head meetings often end level: two of the last six have finished without a winner.

What about those big cup wins?

They are reassuring for form, but came against opponents of a completely different calibre. When these two meet, the promise of goals galore gives way to the lock.

And the bet to remember

The bet points towards Borussia or the draw. High confidence in avoiding a Leipzig victory, more measured on the exact outcome, as Reitz and home advantage could tip the scales for the Reds. To avoid: betting on a goal-fest, the history of this duel says precisely the opposite.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Adrien Costa

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.

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