Monza vs Udinese - Predictions & Odds

Monza

Udinese

Serie A·MD2

Monza

Udinese

Head-to-head

Monza

lasts meetings

Udinese

1Win

3Draws

2Wins

Our analysis

Monza begin their season without captain Pessina, injured for two months, and already weighed down by a botched opening act. On the other side, an Udinese that is well organised defensively but blunt in attack: more reason to cover than to pick a winner.

Monza without their captain

Monza are depleted for this home fixture: Matteo Pessina, their captain and midfield metronome, will be out for nearly two months, and striker Leonardo Colombo is also unavailable. This comes on the back of a 4-1 thrashing by Inter to kick off their campaign. At home, but significantly weakened.

Udinese tight at the back, toothless up front

Udinese arrive with a solid defence, two clean sheets in their last six, but their attack is misfiring: Keinan Davis has yet to score this season and their creator Nicolò Zaniolo is ruled out. Their season opener was a tepid 1-1 home draw against Como.

A duel without a clear favourite

Their last four meetings say it all: two draws and a win apiece, never a clear favourite. The model reflects this uncertainty, unable to separate a Monza win from a draw, with Udinese ranked a distant outsider for an away win.

The matchup trends

The stats below detail the form of both teams, their head-to-head record, and the profile of the key players.

Over 1.5 goals5 matches out of 6

Over 2.5 goals4 matches out of 6

Under 2.5 goals2 matches out of 6

Both teams to score5 matches out of 6

Clean sheetMonza1 match out of 6

Clean sheetUdinese1 match out of 6

Goal in the 1st half4 matches out of 6

Over 9.5 corners3 matches out of 6

Over 4.5 cards3 matches out of 6

Their last 6 meetings

The questions worth asking

Why not back a Monza win?

Because they're at home without their captain and a striker, and are coming off a 4-1 defeat. Playing at home, but too diminished to trust for all three points.

Can Udinese win at Monza?

That's the least likely outcome according to the model. Their defence is solid, but without Zaniolo and with Davis still goalless, scoring away from home remains their weakness.

Why a double chance over a straight win?

Because nothing stands out: their head-to-heads alternate between draws and shared wins, and Monza at home is still the side to cover against a blunt visitor.

And the bet to remember

Monza or the draw, that's the bet. Solid confidence in ruling out an Udinese win, more cautious regarding a clear winner given the absences on both sides. To avoid: backing a Monza win outright, too fragile with their captain and a key forward out.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.