Houston Dynamo vs SJ Earthquakes - Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo
SJ Earthquakes
Major League Soccer·West Conference
Houston Dynamo
SJ Earthquakes

Houston Dynamo

SJ Earthquakes

Head-to-head

Houston Dynamo
0
lasts meetings
SJ Earthquakes
6Wins
2Draws
2Wins
Our analysis
Houston Dynamo sits firmly at the top of the Western Conference and hosts a San Jose side that has just bolstered its midfield, but arrives with the league's most porous defense in their recent run. On paper, this matchup promises goals.

Houston Dynamo sits in 2nd place with 38 points, five points behind Vancouver, and comes in hot against a SJ Earthquakes side that is fourth but in the midst of a storm.

Houston Holds the Edge in the West

The Dynamo are on a run of five wins from their last six matches, often without conceding a single goal. At home, they haven't let anything slip lately, and they face an opponent that historically suits them.

San Jose's Defense is Sinking

For their part, San Jose may have finalized the signing of Eduard Löwen from St. Louis City to strengthen their midfield, but their defense is cracking all over: 18 goals conceded in their last six outings, without ever keeping a clean sheet. The reinforcement targets the midfield, not the back line.

A History of High Scores

Their recent encounters are rarely cagey: an average of 3.3 goals over their last four meetings, with both teams scoring in three of them. With 12 goals this season already, Houston's Guilherme has the profile to punish such a fragile defense.

A Minor Concern for Houston

The Dynamo will have to manage without Jack McGlynn, their main creator and penalty taker, which could make their play a notch less fluid. But against an opponent that concedes every time out, finding the back of the net shouldn't be their main worry.

The matchup trends

The stats below detail the form of both teams and their head-to-head history.

0%
Over 1.5 goals9 matches out of 10
0%
Over 2.5 goals8 matches out of 10
0%
Under 2.5 goals2 matches out of 10
0%
Both teams to score9 matches out of 10
0%
Clean sheetHouston Dynamo1 match out of 10
0%
Clean sheetSJ Earthquakes0 matches out of 10
0%
Goal in the 1st half8 matches out of 10
0%
Over 9.5 corners5 matches out of 10
0%
Over 4.5 cards7 matches out of 10
Their last 10 meetings
The questions worth asking
Why bet on goals rather than a Houston win?

Because the Dynamo sometimes win by the narrowest of margins, like two recent 1-0 victories. Their success is likely, but less certain than seeing the total climb above two and a half goals.

Can San Jose score against this defense?

Yes, they have found a way in most of their recent clashes and still have scorers like Preston Judd, with 11 goals this season. This is precisely what feeds into a high-scoring scenario.

Does McGlynn's absence change the outlook?

It weighs on Houston's creativity, hence a slightly more measured confidence. However, San Jose's defensive fragility remains the number one factor.

And the bet to remember

Everything points towards an open game: Houston's attack, San Jose's crumbling defense, and a high-scoring head-to-head history. The pick goes on Over 2.5 goals, with high confidence on the abundance of goals and more measured confidence on the identity of the winner. What to avoid: betting heavily on a Dynamo win, as they are capable of winning by a narrow 1-0 margin.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Adrien Costa

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.

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