FC Augsburg vs Schalke 04 - Predictions & Odds

FC Augsburg

Schalke 04

Bundesliga·MD1

FC Augsburg

Schalke 04

Head-to-head

FC Augsburg

lasts meetings

Schalke 04

3Wins

4Draws

3Wins

Our analysis

Schalke's transfer market has become a nightmare: a loan deal collapsing at the medical, an overflowing treatment room, and Edin Dzeko called in to pick up the pieces. Facing an Augsburg side that finds the net away from home, the most credible scenario can be summed up in one word: goals.

A loan deal collapsing at the worst time

Jesper Lindström already saw himself in Gelsenkirchen, but his loan move from Napoli was abandoned at the last moment during his medical. Not wanting to be left empty-handed, Schalke 04 finalized the arrival of Edin Dzeko, an experienced reinforcement arriving into a disrupted dressing room nonetheless.

A defense missing in action

The problem runs deeper than the transfer market. Kenan Karaman, scorer of 14 goals last season and the designated penalty taker, is absent, as are Emre Can and two central defenders, Ramy Bensebaini and Nico Schlotterbeck. A patched-up backline against a team that likes to push forward inevitably opens up spaces.

Two attacks in good form

Despite its setbacks, Schalke remains prolific and comes into this match with five wins from its last six matches. Opponents FC Augsburg are far from timid visitors, with three wins from their last four away games and a 3-0 victory over Schalke in their last encounter. Two teams that score, an opposing defense weakened: the model leans towards the Over.

The matchup trends

The stats below detail both teams' current form, their offensive output, and their last head-to-head.

Over 1.5 goals8 matches out of 10

Over 2.5 goals6 matches out of 10

Under 2.5 goals4 matches out of 10

Both teams to score6 matches out of 10

Clean sheetFC Augsburg3 matches out of 10

Clean sheetSchalke 042 matches out of 10

Goal in the 1st half8 matches out of 10

Over 9.5 corners5 matches out of 10

Over 4.5 cards5 matches out of 10

Their last 10 meetings

18.03.23 · Bundesliga

02.10.22 · Bundesliga

11.04.21 · Bundesliga

13.12.20 · Bundesliga

24.05.20 · Bundesliga

03.11.19 · Bundesliga

05.05.19 · Bundesliga

15.12.18 · Bundesliga

05.05.18 · Bundesliga

The questions worth asking

Why bet on goals rather than a winner?

Because Schalke arrives with a decimated defense and their main goalscorer sidelined, while Augsburg scores away from home. Both sides have reasons to be shaky at the back, picking a winner remains too uncertain.

Can Schalke really score without Karaman?

They'll have to manage without their penalty taker, but the team remains prolific in recent matches and Dzeko provides a real focal point up front.

What if the match is tight?

That's the accepted risk: a cautious first half could block everything. But with a patched-up visiting defense and an enterprising Augsburg, the ammunition is there.

And the bet to remember

The main bet is on Over 2.5 goals: two in-form attacks, a Schalke defense missing several key players, and an Augsburg that has already put three past this opponent. Decent confidence in an abundance of goals, more measured on the identity of the winner, which we specifically avoid naming given Schalke's reshuffled look.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.