Thun vs Servette - Super League

Thun
Servette
Super League·MD4
Thun
Servette

Thun

Servette

Head-to-head

Thun
0
lasts meetings
Servette
4Wins
2Draws
4Wins
Our analysis
The reigning Swiss champions host a team that was still battling to stay up last spring. On paper, everything points towards Thun, but they come into this match weakened, and the betting market refuses to make them a clear favourite.

A champion taking on water

Crowned champions last season, Thun no longer have the same solidity. In their last six matches, they have conceded 20 goals, including two heavy defeats at home against Young Boys (0-6 and then 3-8). And the treatment room doesn't help matters: Käit, Montolio, and Bieler are sidelined, Bürki and Heule are also out.

Servette reassuring at the back

In contrast, Servette are quietly making progress and are well-organised. They have kept a clean sheet in three of their last six outings and have conceded only 4 goals in that period. This discipline is a stark contrast to the disarray in Bern, even though they will have to manage without Kadile and Lopes, and their attack, led by Samuel Mráz, remains low-key.

The flaw: Thun's head-to-head record

Let's be honest, this bet has a weak point. Thun haven't lost to Servette for a while: their last three encounters have all gone their way. However, their most recent meeting ended in a 0-0 stalemate, with Servette having precisely managed to contain Thun's fragile attack.

The matchup trends

The stats below highlight the contrast between a leaky Thun defence and a much tighter Servette.

0%
Over 1.5 goals8 matches out of 10
0%
Over 2.5 goals5 matches out of 10
0%
Under 2.5 goals5 matches out of 10
0%
Both teams to score5 matches out of 10
0%
Clean sheetThun2 matches out of 10
0%
Clean sheetServette4 matches out of 10
0%
Goal in the 1st half5 matches out of 10
0%
Over 9.5 corners3 matches out of 7
0%
Over 4.5 cards2 matches out of 7
Their last 10 meetings
The questions worth asking
Isn't Thun the favourite at home?

Their reputation and past record suggest yes. But with 20 goals conceded in six matches, two home drubbings against Young Boys, and several injured players, even the betting market does not make them a clear favourite.

Why the double chance and not a straight Servette win?

Because their attack doesn't score much, and they will be playing without Kadile. We're not betting on a clear victory; we're also covering the draw, especially since their last head-to-head ended 0-0.

What if the head-to-head record speaks in Thun's favour again?

That is the assumed risk, as they have won the last three duels. However, their recent draw and Servette's defensive solidity make a share of the points entirely credible.

And the bet to remember

The bet is Servette or the draw. Confidence in the outcome is measured, as the recent head-to-head favours Thun and tempers enthusiasm, but their defensive collapse and absences open the door. One thing to avoid: betting on a clear Servette win, as their attack is far too quiet for that.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Adrien Costa

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.

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