Ajax vs Willem II - Eredivisie

Ajax
Willem II
Eredivisie·MD3
Ajax
Willem II

Ajax

Willem II

Head-to-head

Ajax
0
lasts meetings
Willem II
8Wins
1Draw
1Win
Our analysis
Far from their usual standards, Ajax have struggled from the start and welcome their opponents with a need to impress. Facing a Willem II side in disarray, the real question is not who wins, but whether both teams will find a way through.

An Ajax side eager to make amends

After four sluggish matchdays, Ajax no longer have the luxury of waiting and play a bounce-back match in front of their home crowd. The good news comes from their attack, which is firing on all cylinders with 21 goals in their last 6 matches. It's hard to imagine the Amsterdammers leaving without having added to the scoreline.

A leaky defence

The flip side is elsewhere. Across those same six matches, Ajax have only kept their goal untouched once. Even when in control, they concede, and that's precisely what leaves a door ajar for their visitors.

Willem II scoring in pain

Willem II are going through a very difficult patch, without a single win in their last five outings and a backline that has conceded 14 times in five matches. But even when struggling, they continue to find the back of the net here and there. Against a fragile Ajax defence, an opportunity could arise.

The shadow of the treatment room

Caution comes from there. Willem II have a long list of absentees, likely to dry up an already timid attack further, limited to 5 goals in five matches. If Ajax finally tighten up at the back, the scenario of a silent opponent cannot be ruled out.

The matchup trends

The stats below detail the form of both teams and their recent meetings.

0%
Over 1.5 goals8 matches out of 10
0%
Over 2.5 goals5 matches out of 10
0%
Under 2.5 goals5 matches out of 10
0%
Both teams to score5 matches out of 10
0%
Clean sheetAjax4 matches out of 10
0%
Clean sheetWillem II1 match out of 10
0%
Goal in the 1st half7 matches out of 10
0%
Over 9.5 corners5 matches out of 10
0%
Over 4.5 cards0 matches out of 10
Their last 10 meetings
The questions worth asking
Why bet on both teams to score?

Because Ajax score nearly every time they play but concede just as often, with just one clean sheet in six matches. Willem II, even when struggling, retain the ability to strike.

Is Willem II so weak they can actually score?

They remain inconsistent and depleted by absences, but they have rarely been completely muzzled. Against a fragile Ajax defence, one chance may be enough.

What is the main risk?

That Ajax get their act together defensively and a Willem II side missing several players stays silent. A match without an away goal would scupper the bet.

And the bet to remember

The story is of an Ajax side ordered to react at home, with an attack that reassures and a defence that worries. We lean towards both teams to score: reasonable confidence in the Ajax offensive capability, more measured in Willem II's ability to convert given their injury woes. To avoid: turning this bet into a forecast for a goal-fest, the uncertainty lies with the away goal, not Ajax's.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Adrien Costa

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.

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