Motherwell vs Aberdeen - Predictions & Odds

Motherwell

Aberdeen

Premiership·1st Phase·MD3

Motherwell

Aberdeen

Head-to-head

Motherwell

lasts meetings

Aberdeen

3Wins

2Draws

5Wins

Our analysis

Motherwell hasn't let Aberdeen win at their ground for a long time, and the visitor arrives unable to rattle the net away from home. The stage is set for a tight match, where scoring opportunities are likely to be scarce.

Aberdeen silent on the road

Aberdeen arrives in the worst possible shape on their travels: three consecutive defeats and zero goals in their last three away games. Kevin Nisbet leads the line, but he's only found the net once this season, and the team struggles to create real danger away from home.

Motherwell stifles this rival at home

Motherwell has won their three consecutive home league matches against Aberdeen, often keeping a clean sheet, including two wins with the same scoreline of 2-0. In this specific fixture, the encounter rarely turns into an attacking spectacle.

A depleted squad, intact creativity

Caution is advised: Motherwell will be without Eythor Bjørgolfsson, Paul McGinn, Johnny Koutroumbis, Oscar Priestman, Callum Hendry and Jordan McGhee. However, Emmanuel Longelo still pulls the strings with 11 chances created, one of the best totals in the league, and new signing Seb Palmer-Houlden adds presence up front. A reminder that a 0-0 is never guaranteed.

The matchup trends

The stats below detail Aberdeen's offensive struggles on the road and Motherwell's dominance in this head-to-head.

Over 1.5 goals8 matches out of 10

Over 2.5 goals4 matches out of 10

Under 2.5 goals6 matches out of 10

Both teams to score5 matches out of 10

Clean sheetMotherwell3 matches out of 10

Clean sheetAberdeen2 matches out of 10

Goal in the 1st half7 matches out of 10

Over 9.5 corners7 matches out of 10

Over 4.5 cards5 matches out of 10

Their last 10 meetings

15.02.26 · Premiership

09.11.25 · Premiership

27.09.25 · Premiership

29.03.25 · Premiership

05.01.25 · Premiership

14.09.24 · Premiership

27.04.24 · Premiership

16.03.24 · Premiership

14.02.24 · Premiership

01.11.23 · Premiership

The questions worth asking

Why target a tight match?

Because Aberdeen hasn't scored in their last three away games and Motherwell regularly keeps a clean sheet against them. Two trends pushing goals down.

Isn't Motherwell too depleted to dominate?

The absentees are numerous, hence the caution on the outright winner. But Aberdeen is in such poor form away that the total goals remains the most reliable angle, not the result.

What if Longelo unlocks everything?

That's the real risk: he creates a huge number of chances. An isolated goal doesn't break the bet, it would take a goal-fest from both sides for that.

And the bet to remember

Aberdeen no longer scores away and Motherwell locks this rival down at home: the bet lands on a match under 2.5 total goals. Solid confidence in the low total, more measured regarding the winner given the Scottish side's absences. To avoid: backing a big Motherwell win, as they are too reshuffled to guarantee it.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.