Levante vs Athletic Club - Predictions & Odds

Levante

Athletic Club

La Liga·MD6

Levante

Athletic Club

Head-to-head

Levante

lasts meetings

Athletic Club

1Win

2Draws

7Wins

Our analysis

Athletic Club arrives in Valencia as the favorite on paper, but with an injury list that weighs heavily. Facing an inconsistent Levante side, capable of both brilliance and collapse at home, this fixture is far more open than the league table might suggest.

A favorite lacking its anchors

Athletic Club is seriously depleted. Gorka Guruzeta, who scored 10 goals last season, is unavailable, along with Yeray Álvarez, Unai Egiluz, and Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta, not to mention a muscle injury for Kike García. That's a lot of absences for a team expected to dominate, especially away from home where they've lost two of their last three trips.

Levante's lively home form

Sitting only 13th in the standings, Levante is as baffling as it is captivating: capable of a 5-2 victory over Real Betis in their own stadium, they've also fallen to Barcelona there. Roger Brugué, their top scorer this season with 2 goals, typifies a team that can score but often leaves itself exposed.

A worrying precedent

The main danger for a bet on Levante lies in the recent head-to-head record. Athletic has won the last two meetings, 4-2 and then 0-2, with room to spare on both occasions. This is the acknowledged flaw in this selection, but it now clashes with a Basque squad that's seriously weakened.

The matchup trends

The stats below detail the form, goals, and recent head-to-head record of the two teams.

Over 1.5 goals9 matches out of 10

Over 2.5 goals6 matches out of 10

Under 2.5 goals4 matches out of 10

Both teams to score6 matches out of 10

Clean sheetLevante2 matches out of 10

Clean sheetAthletic Club3 matches out of 10

Goal in the 1st half7 matches out of 10

Over 9.5 corners4 matches out of 10

Over 4.5 cards4 matches out of 10

Their last 10 meetings

The questions worth asking

Why not bet on an Athletic win despite their favorite status?

Because they arrive missing several key players, including Guruzeta and Kike García, and remain vulnerable away from Bilbao. Their reputation speaks louder than their current form.

Levante is only 13th, why cover them?

Because at home they can raise their game, as their 5-2 win against Betis showed. And the double chance also covers the draw, the most likely outcome of the match.

What if Athletic wins as they did in the last two meetings?

That's the acknowledged risk; they have won the last two head-to-heads. But with so many absentees and a Levante side that lifts at home, a draw is very much in play.

And the bet to remember

A weakened favorite, an unpredictable but lively Levante at home, and a draw that the context makes credible: the bet is on Levante or Draw. Solid confidence in covering the result, more cautious on a clear home win, as the recent history leans towards the Basque side. Avoid: betting on a straight Athletic victory.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.