Toronto vs New York City - Major League Soccer

Toronto
New York City
Major League Soccer·East Conference
Toronto
New York City

Toronto

New York City

Head-to-head

Toronto
0
lasts meetings
New York City
2Wins
2Draws
6Wins
Our analysis
New York City have the edge in the recent head-to-head, but Toronto have already overturned this same opponent at home, a 2-1 win still fresh in the memory. And the visitors arrive this time depleted by a long list of regular starters, enough to level a matchup that the league table suggests is tight.

Toronto know how to beat them

In their most recent meetings, New York City have often come out on top. But Toronto have proof the hurdle can be cleared: a 2-1 victory secured at BMO Field against this same rival. At home, the Torontonians have already found the right recipe.

New York arrive weakened

The context tilts things even further. New York City travel without a large part of their core, including Alonso Martínez, Keaton Parks, and James Sands, creating a void from midfield to attack. Even their reserve team set the tone, thrashed 0-5 by Toronto's reserves.

But nothing's settled yet

However, New York still have their sharpest weapon, Nicolás Fernández Mercau with his 13 goals this season, and even sit above Toronto with 27 points. This matchup remains too open to bet on a simple winner, as the form of the two sides is very similar.

The matchup trends

The stats below detail the form, head-to-head history, and profiles of the two teams.

0%
Over 1.5 goals8 matches out of 10
0%
Over 2.5 goals7 matches out of 10
0%
Under 2.5 goals3 matches out of 10
0%
Both teams to score7 matches out of 10
0%
Clean sheetToronto1 match out of 10
0%
Clean sheetNew York City2 matches out of 10
0%
Goal in the 1st half8 matches out of 10
0%
Over 9.5 corners4 matches out of 10
0%
Over 4.5 cards5 matches out of 10
Their last 10 meetings
The questions worth asking
Isn't New York the favorite based on history?

Recent history favors them, yes. But Toronto have already beaten them at home 2-1, and New York are missing several key starters this time around.

Why not bet on a Toronto win?

Because the two teams are close in the standings and New York still have Mercau and his 13 goals. The double chance also covers the draw, which is more prudent.

Do New York's absentees really change things?

Yes. Without Martínez, Parks, or Sands, their core is affected from midfield to attack, and even their reserves just conceded 0-5.

And the bet to remember

Toronto are at home, have already beaten this opponent at BMO Field, and face a New York side missing several key players: the bet points to Toronto or the draw. High confidence that Toronto won't lose, more measured on a clear win, as Mercau keeps the visitors dangerous. To avoid: betting on a Toronto win alone, the table says this match is far too tight.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Adrien Costa

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.

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