OH Leuven vs Standard Liège - Pro League

OH Leuven
Standard Liège
Pro League·MD4
OH Leuven
Standard Liège

OH Leuven

Standard Liège

Head-to-head

OH Leuven
0
lasts meetings
Standard Liège
5Wins
3Draws
2Wins
Our analysis
Standard travel to face Belgium's bottom club with a defense in tatters: no first-choice keeper, two center-backs in the infirmary. Against an OH Leuven fighting for survival in front of their home crowd, the most logical scenario is a match where both sides look shaky.

A decimated backline

Standard Liège arrive in Leuven without their starting goalkeeper Lucas Pirard, without Dimitri Lavalée or Josué Homawoo, both out for months, and without Laurens Goemaere. Add to that the absence of defensive midfielder Marco Ilaimaharitra, and the entire defensive axis has to be reworked. Keeping a clean sheet with an improvised defense is a different story.

Leuven are hungry at home

OH Leuven are propping up the table, 16th with 0 points, but they are not harmless at home: their last good night was a 3-0 win against Antwerp. A bottom club playing for its future in front of their fans, against a patched-up defense, smells like an opportunity. A caveat, though: Leuven also drew blanks twice recently, losing 0-3 then 0-2.

Standard know how to score

On the other side, Standard don't usually leave empty-handed: 9 goals in 6 matches, with Dennis Eckert Ayensa already on two goals this season and an Adnane Abid who feeds his attackers (6 assists). Even weakened at the back, this Standard side still has the tools to punish a Leuven team that has conceded eleven goals over the same period.

The matchup trends

The stats below shed light on this duel between a regular Liège attack and a porous Leuven defense.

0%
Over 1.5 goals6 matches out of 10
0%
Over 2.5 goals3 matches out of 10
0%
Under 2.5 goals7 matches out of 10
0%
Both teams to score5 matches out of 10
0%
Clean sheetOH Leuven5 matches out of 10
0%
Clean sheetStandard Liège1 match out of 10
0%
Goal in the 1st half5 matches out of 10
0%
Over 9.5 corners3 matches out of 10
0%
Over 4.5 cards3 matches out of 9
Their last 10 meetings
The questions worth asking
Why target both teams to score rather than picking a winner?

Because the match is too uncertain to call a clear winner, but both defenses are worrying: Standard's is hastily reassembled, while Leuven's has conceded eleven goals in six games.

Leuven are last, can they really score?

At home, yes: they just thrashed Antwerp 3-0 and are playing for survival. Against a Liège defense missing its keeper and two center-backs, they will have chances.

What if Standard manage to hold firm despite the absences?

That's the risk. Leuven have already drawn blanks twice in a row, and Standard have kept a clean sheet twice recently. But with this reworked defense, a shutout seems difficult.

And the bet to remember

A Liège defense in shreds, a hungry but skilled host at home, Standard's attackers already in form: the bet for both teams to score follows directly from this match-up. Solid confidence in the principle, more measured on the execution, as Leuven remain capable of fluffing their lines like in their recent 0-3 and 0-2 losses. Avoid: betting on a Leuven win; a bottom club with 0 points cannot be bet on as a favorite.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Adrien Costa

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.

Where to play now

Advertisement

Other matches

GenkSK BeverenPro League · Fri, Aug 28, 06:45 PMLa LouvièreMechelenPro League · Sat, Aug 29, 02:00 PMKV KortrijkSporting CharleroiPro League · Sat, Aug 29, 04:15 PMCercle BruggeLommel SKPro League · Sat, Aug 29, 06:45 PMGentClub BruggePro League · Sun, Aug 30, 11:30 AMAntwerpSint-TruidenPro League · Sun, Aug 30, 02:00 PMUnion Saint-GilloiseAnderlechtPro League · Sun, Aug 30, 04:30 PMWesterloZulte-WaregemPro League · Sun, Aug 30, 05:15 PMSint-TruidenUnion Saint-GilloisePro League · Wed, Sep 02, 06:30 PMAnderlechtKV KortrijkPro League · Thu, Sep 03, 06:30 PMLommel SKClub BruggePro League · Fri, Sep 04, 06:45 PMSporting CharleroiUnion Saint-GilloisePro League · Sat, Sep 05, 02:00 PMMechelenWesterloPro League · Sat, Sep 05, 04:15 PMSint-TruidenLa LouvièrePro League · Sat, Sep 05, 06:45 PMStandard LiègeAntwerpPro League · Sat, Sep 05, 06:45 PMBoca JuniorsLanúsLiga Profesional de Fútbol · Sat, Aug 29, 12:30 AMNecaxaCruz AzulLiga MX · Sat, Aug 29, 01:00 AMMito HollyhockMachida ZelviaJ1 League · Sat, Aug 29, 09:00 AMGamba OsakaSanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League · Sat, Aug 29, 09:00 AMV-Varen NagasakiFC TokyoJ1 League · Sat, Aug 29, 09:30 AMShimizu S-PulseKashiwa ReysolJ1 League · Sat, Aug 29, 09:30 AMNagoya GrampusFagiano OkayamaJ1 League · Sat, Aug 29, 10:00 AMTokyo VerdyKashima AntlersJ1 League · Sat, Aug 29, 10:00 AMVissel KobeCerezo OsakaJ1 League · Sat, Aug 29, 10:00 AMKawasaki FrontaleJEF UnitedJ1 League · Sat, Aug 29, 10:00 AMKyoto SangaAvispa FukuokaJ1 League · Sat, Aug 29, 10:00 AMUrawa RedsYokohama F. MarinosJ1 League · Sat, Aug 29, 10:00 AMFC HeidenheimDynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga · Sat, Aug 29, 11:00 AMKarlsruher SCVfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga · Sat, Aug 29, 11:00 AMEnergie CottbusSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga · Sat, Aug 29, 11:00 AMMiddlesbroughWest Bromwich AlbionChampionship · Sat, Aug 29, 11:30 AMDerby CountySwansea CityChampionship · Sat, Aug 29, 11:30 AMWolverhampton WanderersStoke CityChampionship · Sat, Aug 29, 11:30 AMLiverpoolNottingham ForestPremier League · Sat, Aug 29, 11:30 AMWatfordWest Ham UnitedChampionship · Sat, Aug 29, 02:00 PMBlackburn RoversQueens Park RangersChampionship · Sat, Aug 29, 02:00 PMSouthamptonMillwallChampionship · Sat, Aug 29, 02:00 PMNorwich CityBurnleyChampionship · Sat, Aug 29, 02:00 PMCharlton AthleticPreston North EndChampionship · Sat, Aug 29, 02:00 PMCardiff CitySheffield UnitedChampionship · Sat, Aug 29, 02:00 PM