Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag - Eredivisie

Feyenoord host an ADO Den Haag side back in the top flight after a five-year absence and in the midst of a rebuild. On paper, the Rotterdam squad's quality dwarfs that of their visitors. The result is hardly in doubt, so we look for the angle elsewhere.

Unbeatable away, porous at home

Here's the nuance that changes everything. Feyenoord has won everything on the road, but at home this season they've settled for two draws, a 2-2 against Go Ahead Eagles and a 1-1 against AZ Alkmaar. Two home games, twice both teams have scored: the attack is firing on all cylinders, the defense is leaking.

ADO concedes, but remains dangerous

The newcomers are taking on water, with three defeats and nine goals conceded in their recent outings. Yet, they've found a way through in two of those three games. And the Danish reinforcement Jonas Jensen-Abbew, just arrived from AGF Aarhus, is not available to solidify the backline, which won't help in containing Ayase Ueda and the home attack.

Two attacks that should have their say

Feyenoord scores almost every time out, 13 goals in 6 matches, and ADO, even when thoroughly dominated, regularly slips in a goal. Add to that the fact the Rotterdammers have not kept a clean sheet at home, and the scenario of both teams scoring becomes the most credible one. The model, in fact, leans in this direction.

The bet: both teams to score. Solid confidence in the idea that Feyenoord will rattle the net, more measured on ADO's ability to respond. To avoid: betting on an inviolable Rotterdam goal, a scenario that recent home form frankly contradicts.