Brest vs Toulouse - Predictions & Odds

Brest

Toulouse

Ligue 1·MD2

Brest

Toulouse

Head-to-head

Brest

lasts meetings

Toulouse

5Wins

3Draws

2Wins

Our analysis

Toulouse enters a new era with a Danish coach, but they start the season with zero points and their backs already against the wall. On the other hand, Brest moves forward with continuity and plays at home, which leans the scale towards the more stable side.

Toulouse already under pressure

Toulouse has entrusted its bench to Jens Berthel Askou and is still finding its feet. Beaten 0-2 at home in their opener, they travel to Finistère without having launched their season, with more of a project than a well-oiled unit. A start that leaves little serenity for a group in full reconstruction.

Brest in continuity

Brest has not known this turbulence. The Finistère side opened with an encouraging 2-2 and keep their bearings, which counts double against an opponent that still has to assemble its pieces. Hosting a shaky Toulouse comes at the right time.

Caution remains the watchword

However, Brest has not won in their last six matches and concedes a lot, without ever keeping a clean sheet during this period. Toulouse, on the other hand, won their last two head-to-heads. Therefore, betting on a Brest win alone would be bold; covering the draw is more reasonable.

The matchup trends

The stats below detail the form of the two teams and the history of their duels.

Over 1.5 goals10 matches out of 10

Over 2.5 goals4 matches out of 10

Under 2.5 goals6 matches out of 10

Both teams to score6 matches out of 10

Clean sheetBrest2 matches out of 10

Clean sheetToulouse2 matches out of 10

Goal in the 1st half8 matches out of 10

Over 9.5 corners5 matches out of 10

Over 4.5 cards3 matches out of 10

Their last 10 meetings

The questions worth asking

Why not bet on a Brest win?

Because they haven't won in six matches and their defence remains generous. Against a Toulouse capable of punishing them, the double chance secures the draw.

Can Toulouse win?

It's possible, they won their last two duels. But they are starting with zero points, with a recently arrived coach and a squad still gelling.

Expect many goals or few?

Both defences give up chances, but their recent meetings have often been tight. The total remains uncertain, hence a bet on the result rather than the score.

And the bet to remember

A Toulouse side in full transition, under pressure from the start, against a stable Brest playing at home: the bet goes towards Brest or the draw. Decent confidence in this result, more measured on the number of goals given Brest's defence. To avoid: betting on a Brest win alone, as they are on a six-match winless run and just lost their last two duels against Toulouse.

* Cryptos.bet analyses, it does not bet for you. This pick is the outcome our data rates as the most solid, not a guaranteed result or betting advice.

Written by

Adrien Costa

Football Analyst

Football analyst at Cryptos.bet. I look at every match without preconceptions: recent form, absentees, a team's momentum. Guessing a scoreline doesn't interest me. Finding the matches where the market gets it wrong, where the odds pay more than the real risk, does. I work fully independent of the bookmakers.