Unión Santa Fe vs Sarmiento - Liga Profesional de Fútbol

A Sarmiento Side Transformed

Since that defeat, Sarmiento has climbed to 2nd place and is riding a three-game winning streak, including two 2-0 victories that speak to their defensive solidity. Over their last six outings, they've won four and lost only twice. This is a completely different animal from the side beaten in the spring.

Unión's Shaky Home Form

Opposite them, Unión Santa Fe languishes in 10th spot, mixing the good with the bad: two wins, a draw, and three defeats from their last six. At home, they've managed just one win and a loss from their last two, casting serious doubt on their ability to repeat February's feat. Cristian Tarragona and his 11 goals remain their main threat, but one man does not make a favorite.

The Duel Remains Open

It's worth noting this fixture hasn't always smiled on Unión: earlier in 2024, Sarmiento took it 1-0. With a visitor in form and a host still searching for consistency, the outcome is too indecisive to confidently pick an outright winner. Covering the draw while leaning on Sarmiento's momentum looks like the sensible play.

The pick, therefore, is Sarmiento or the draw. It shows correct confidence in the idea that Unión won't win, while being more measured on the exact scenario, as a home reaction is always possible. What to avoid: jumping on a Unión win based solely on the memory of February's 3-1. The balance of power has shifted.